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Oil down

Brent below $75 - down 4%

A recent release of economic data from China has intensified fears that the country's economic growth, particularly in the context of its substantial oil consumption, may not rebound in 2024. This concern is further fueled by the significant decline in key indicators of domestic factory demand in August, which surpassed initial projections.

The price of Brent crude oil has fallen significantly in recent days. This decline was triggered by a news report suggesting that the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) and its allies (OPEC+) might increase oil production due to a disruption in Libyan oil production. However, the price drop accelerated when news emerged that the Libyan oil disruption was nearing resolution. This means that the initial concern about a potential oil supply shortage, which had led to higher prices, was now alleviated.

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Brent Crude Logs Biggest Weekly Drop Since September on Weak Demand, Easing Tensions

Oil prices were under pressure this week. Brent crude oil futures fell 1.9% to $73 per barrel on Friday, registering the biggest weekly loss since early September, with prices dropping over 7%. The decline was attributed to weaker demand forecasts from OPEC and the International Energy Agency (IEA), slowing economic growth in China, and signs of easing geopolitical tensions in the Middle East. Both OPEC and the IEA revised down their demand forecasts for 2024 and 2025. China's refinery output declined for the sixth consecutive month, impacted by weak fuel demand and the growing adoption of electric vehicles (EVs). Meanwhile, U.S. crude oil production reached a new record last week. Although a drawdown in U.S. crude inventories and stronger-than-expected retail sales in September provided some support to oil prices, easing concerns about a broader conflict in the Middle East exerted additional downward pressure on the market.
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PSX Strongly Rebounds

The Pakistan Stock Exchange (PSX) reacted positively to the conclusion of the IMF staff-level agreement and has now recovered a substantial part of the losses sustained on Monday. Today, out of the 1,139-point gain in the KSE-100 Index, around 800 points were contributed by UBL, OGDC, PPL, and Meezan Bank.