Crude Plunges on China Growth Concerns

Brent crude prices plummeted to their lowest point since early June, settling around $78.8 a barrel. The decline was fueled by growing fears over oil demand in China, the world's largest oil consumer.

Recent data revealed an 11% drop in China's fuel oil imports during the first half of the year. Furthermore, weak GDP figures and the Chinese central bank's surprise interest rate cut last week to boost the economy have heightened concerns about China's overall economic health, exerting downward pressure on oil prices.

Brent Crude Logs Biggest Weekly Drop Since September on Weak Demand, Easing Tensions

Oil prices were under pressure this week. Brent crude oil futures fell 1.9% to $73 per barrel on Friday, registering the biggest weekly loss since early September, with prices dropping over 7%. The decline was attributed to weaker demand forecasts from OPEC and the International Energy Agency (IEA), slowing economic growth in China, and signs of easing geopolitical tensions in the Middle East. Both OPEC and the IEA revised down their demand forecasts for 2024 and 2025. China's refinery output declined for the sixth consecutive month, impacted by weak fuel demand and the growing adoption of electric vehicles (EVs). Meanwhile, U.S. crude oil production reached a new record last week. Although a drawdown in U.S. crude inventories and stronger-than-expected retail sales in September provided some support to oil prices, easing concerns about a broader conflict in the Middle East exerted additional downward pressure on the market.

A Snapshot of Exchange Traded Funds at PSX

PSX Strongly Rebounds

The Pakistan Stock Exchange (PSX) reacted positively to the conclusion of the IMF staff-level agreement and has now recovered a substantial part of the losses sustained on Monday. Today, out of the 1,139-point gain in the KSE-100 Index, around 800 points were contributed by UBL, OGDC, PPL, and Meezan Bank.

PakStox Outlook

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